Saturday, March 20, 2010

Forex Expert Advisors : Forex Robovore, an Unbiased Review

Yesterday an Asirikuy member sent me an email requesting my opinion about a new automated trading system called Forex Robovore. This trading system is interesting since it seems to follow a different line of thought when compared to most of the other automated trading systems available on the internet. On today's review I will focus on the claims made by the author on the Forex Robovore's website as well as the validity and support the evidence on the website gives to said claims. In the end I will be able to tell you if what the creator says about the system is supported by the evidence given or if it is simply not the case. With this evidence in mind I will also be able to give you my opinion about the long term profitability of this trading system and whether or not it is worth buying and testing.

First of all, it is clear that the Forex Robovore trading system has a different philosphy when compared with the other systems available online. The Forex Robovore system aims to have a very favorable risk to reward ratio of 1:2 to 1:4, giving us the impression that it was designed to take advantage of trend following moves. The trading system's sale page even includes a report which tells you why expert advisor scalpers are bound to fail in the long run in forex trading. I must say that I appreciate the fact that the creator of Forex Robovore is taking the time to explain that his system uses a different logic, it is also worth noting that the expert uses sound risk management in the sense that only a small percentage of capital is risked per trade.

However these are just words. The important thing is to know if the creator of the Forex Robovore trading system is able to show evidence to substantiate his claims. This is when we start to see the many holes in the evidence provided and how this trading system does not stand in a better place than most of the "other expert advisors" it so strongly talks about. First of all, we find that there are NO ten year backtesting results, showing us that the creator fails to carry out this readily available and easy to perform simulations. On the other hand, the creator says that backtesting can be done by downloading data from the metaquotes server. Therefore it is obvious that the author knows that these backtests can be carried out but yet FAILS to show these backtests on his website. Why ? The most common reason for this is the LACK of long term profitability of the trading system, the lack of profitable 10 year simulations.

Moreover, unverified live testing results of about 4 months are shown as evidence of profitability. I would have to say that four months are a rather small period of time to show as the only available evidence. It is also worth noting that the live results are UNVERIFIED and can be forged. It is VITAL to have live testing results which are confirmed by INVESTOR ACCESS to the trading account. The author says on the FAQ that you can tell a real live test by the configuration of the html file but this is WRONG, this CAN BE FORGED and investor access is the ONLY way to verify that a live trading record is REAL. Why isn't investor access given ? Are accounts not live but demo accounts ? Have the results been manipulated ? I see no other reason why an EA creator would refuse to post results on myfxbook which can independently and reliably verify investor access and trading privileges.

Overall it is sad to say that although the intentions of the Forex Robovore system creator seem to be to create a system with sound money management and trading strategies the trading system is not able to walk the walk. It seems that the website merely uses this "difference" with other trading systems as a marketing pitch without any evidence of the system truly being long term profitable. Because of the complete lack of 10 year backtests and the absence of verification of the live trading results I have to say that the Forex Robovore trading system is NOT able to backup its claims and it is therefore NOT worth buying or testing. If the creator of this trading system provides 10 year backtests with live/back testing consistency tests with the current period of live testing, as well as live account verification through investor access, I will be more than happy to redo this review.

If you would like to know more about what I have learned about automated trading systems and how you too can design and develop trading systems to trade profitably in the forex market please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

2 comments:

Tcxmon said...

Daniel-

I'm try to backtest Watukushay, and I'm getting:

"OrderSend error 4051"
"invalid lots amount for OrderSend function"

I get this error with a $1000 account, but it trades succesfully with a $10,000 account. I tried lowering the risk to 0.05 (from 1.0) and that didn't help.

Can you advise what I need to do to test it with a $1000 account?

Thanks,

Chris

Daniel said...

Hi Chris,

Thank you for your comment :o) However in the future please post anything about Watukushay FE on its website to keep things organized.

The backtester has an inherent limitation on some versions of mt4 which only allows trading in 0.1 increments. Therefore backtests should be done on at least 100K to avoid lot size calculation errors.

You can test 10,000 USD with higher risk settings (higher than 3) but the use of 1000 USD accounts is not possible due to this increment limitation. If your mt4 version allows backtesting in 0.01 increments then you might want to switch the backtesting variable to false and give it a try. In live/demo trading which allow 0.01 lot increments trading can be done from 1000 USD.

However there is no need to run the same amount of money in backtesting which will be used in live testing. Run backtests from 10,000 USD or 100,000 USD and extrapolate the percentages to get the proyected profits/loses.

Thanks again for your comment :o)

Best Regards,

Daniel Fernanez

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